In this paper the correlation and regression factor analysis of population growth of Pavlodar region between 2009-2013years. In this article the correlation and regression analysis of fertility by region of Pavlodar region in the period 2009-2013. This analysis relevant in determining the level natural movement of the population according to social factors. In the form factor variable data used general divorce rate in the region and the average housing supply, sq. m. of total area 1 person. According to the results identified a close relationship between the factor and effective sign.